According to Nate Silver, the numbers in Virginia slightly favor Obama

Nate Silver, who writes the FiveThirtyEight blog for The New York Times, did a numerical dissection of Virginia a couple of days ago that's well worth reading.

A snippet: "The political landscape in Virginia has shifted dramatically in recent years, and the disagreement among the polls is essentially a disagreement about which Virginia will dominate on Election Day: the reliably Republican “Old Virginia,” which is more religious, rural, working-class and white, or the politically competitive “New Virginia,” which is more secular, urban, diverse and white-collar."

Here's a link to the full FiveThirtyEight post.